Alternative worlds summary theme major trends ancillary trends megatrends individual empowerment reduction of poverty expanding global middle class narrowing education and gender gaps innovations in communications technologies improving health. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. International reactions to muslim women who learn to read will read the global trends 2030 koran, not the bill of rights. The world economic forum is an independent international organization committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, academic and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas.
The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think. Also, asia will have surpassed north america and europe combined in terms of global power, based upon gdp gross domestic product, population. What the world will look like in 2030as predicted by the. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. As the title of the national intelligence councils nic capstone publication suggests, this look at possible alternative worlds is the essence of the study. In december, the united states national intelligence council nic published its guess. Armys biological warfare laboratories was based at camp later fort detrick, maryland, from 1949 to 1969. Interviewee observed the communal space environment is a bushfire novation space in europe 2030 are indeed concrete enough to be taken on. Jun 21, 2018 mountains of plastic waste are building up around the globe after china implemented a ban on other countries trash.
Alternative worlds, the us national intelligence council, a think tank within the us intelligence community, predicted dire geopolitical, social, and economic repercussions national intelligence council, 2012. World energy consumption is the total energy produced and used by the entire human civilization. By 2030, an estimated 111 million metric tons of singleuse drink bottles, food containers and other plastic junk will be displaced because of chinas new policy, according to a new paper from university of georgia researchers. What the world will look like in 2030as predicted by the government to help plan for the future, the intelligence community has put together a vision of what the world will look like in the. The arc of crisis and insecurity reaches all the way around europe. By 2030, no countrywhether the us, china, or any other large countrywill. The competing forces shaping 2030 how digital and artificial intelligence are changing work the potential for digital platforms and ai to underpin and grow the world of work is unbounded. Jul 25, 2014 issuu is a digital publishing platform that makes it simple to publish magazines, catalogs, newspapers, books, and more online. National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states.
Mountains of plastic waste are building up around the globe after china implemented a ban on other countries trash. Incorporating unmanned aerial systems into the japan air self. Dec 11, 2012 the world in 2030 wont look anything like you think. The fourth section proposes a human security framework for all united states interaction abroad employing creativity and organizational theory in support of the argument. The highdefinition space telescope hdst is operational. The final section predicts the beneficial grand strategy effect of a human security framework on both national. Kindle ebooks can be read on any device with the free kindle app. On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence. The latest national intelligence council report, global trends 2030. National intelligence council federation of american.
Dec, 2012 the futureworld order will be shaped by human agency asmuch as unfolding trends and unanticipated events. The long view how will the global economic order change by. Biological weapons, bioterrorism, and vaccines history of. Smart grid technology is widespread in developed nations. A portfolio of four alternative scenarios, or development paths, present plausible pictures of what the uks job landscape might look like in 2030 and which skills will be required under these conditions. Easily share your publications and get them in front of issuus. Alternative worlds, the nic identifies major global trends and how they will play out to impact nations, their people, and the international community in the. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. Worlds plastic waste problem now predicted to reach 111.
Selected references diplomacy for the 21st century. The present paper provides a metastudy of security and defence foresight documents by the atlantic alliance, european union and various official bodies linked to the defence ministries of canada, france, germany, italy, spain, the united kingdom and united states. China took the lead in 2017 with a market for trading the right to emit a tonne of co2, setting the world on a path towards a single carbon price and a powerful incentive to ditch fossil fuels, predicts jane burston, head of climate and environment at the uks national physical laboratory. Embedding a culture of science and technology throughout the department of state. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 5 index of national power 20102030 source.
This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during. International futures base scenario only effective multilateralism, based on the principles of coordination and cooperation, will allow the international community to address the challenges it faces. Humanitarian trends and trajectories to 2030 north and south. It focuses on the political and social trends impacting on defence and military issues. Marketing plan 4 global needs to reevaluate its marketing. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Political and social trends in the future of global security. They already play an essential role in the development of all four worlds of work, matching skills to employer, capital to investor and. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Dec 20, 2012 the latest national intelligence council report, global trends 2030. Key goals include reinforcing economic and investment activities, increasing nonoil international trade, and promoting a softer and more. The world in 2030 wont look anything like you think the. From the eastern neighbouring countries where we are involved in initiatives under the danish neighbourhood programme for eastern europe, over the middle east.
Incorporated as a notforprofit foundation in 1971, and headquartered in geneva, switzerland, the forum is tied to no political, partisan or national interests. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by. Companies and governments have to make informed guesses, because some of their investments today will last longer than 20 years. Goldstein making predictions about social trends of any kind is extremely difficult and arguably impossible. Typically measured per year, it involves all energy harnessed from every energy source applied towards humanitys endeavors across every single industrial and technological sector, across every country. As the title of the national intelligence council s nic capstone publication suggests, this look at possible alternative worlds is the essence of the study. The final section predicts the beneficial grand strategy effect of a. In my opinion we just do not understand war and international relations well enough to predict anything twenty years into the future. Government spending cuts challenge the ability of phas and other government agencies to ensure the conditions.
Obviously, nobody knows, but some things are more likely than others. The lucifer project main file gates foundation funds surveillance of antivaccine groups genetically engineered organisms foods and others main file global great depression and population reduction by 2030 mit and the club of rome prophecy. Marketing plan 4 global needs to reevaluate its marketing strategy to ensure the success of its new smartphone, the phoenix. Dec 10, 2012 also, asia will have surpassed north america and europe combined in terms of global power, based upon gdp gross domestic product, population size, military spending and technological investment. Le menu 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 uk 18201870 us 19001950 japan 19501980 china 20002020 india 2010 2030 60 ssa nsa mna apc eur 50 40 30 20 10 0 80 60 20 0 1950 2010 2030 40 the world is transforming at an unprecedented rate it took britain 155 years to double gdp per capita, with about 9 million people. Goals include reinforcing economic and investment activities, increasing nonoil industry trade. Four worlds of work for 2030 which will kickstart your thinking about the many possible scenarios that. Depopulation of planet earth despoblacion del planeta tierra. We project that the world economy could more than double in size by 2050, assuming broadly growthfriendly policies including no sustained longterm retreat into protectionism and no major global.
Humanitarian trends and trajectories to 2030 north and. Incorporating unmanned aerial systems into the japan air. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council a condensed version of the report is also available 1. Past efforts at prediction have been notoriously unsuccessful, as dan gardner has shown compellingly in his recent book future babble. Many anticipated further nuclear global trends works, europe was a lively topic for proliferation and questioned whether stable discussion. Global trends 2030 reports of all possible future worlds. Alternative worlds, takes a look at globalization, population, demographics and the environment to predict where we might be 20.
In 2030, it is expected that 60 per cent of the worlds poor people will live in fragile and conflictaffected countries. International futures ifs is a global integrated assessment model designed to help in thinking strategically and systematically about key global systems economic, demographic, education, health, environment, technology, domestic governance, infrastructure, agriculture, energy and environment housed at the frederick s. Alternative worlds we looked at the four possible future models of the world out to 2030 the alternative worlds portion of the study. It does not include energy from food, and the extent to which direct biomass burning has been. The nic foresees a transformed world, in which no country whether the us, china, or any other large country will be a hegemonic power. Alternative worlds, december 2012 2014 is a significant memorial year for the world, as it marked the 100th anniversary of the start of world war. Issuu is a digital publishing platform that makes it simple to publish magazines, catalogs, newspapers, books, and more online. Alternative worlds document, released this week by the u. The world of 2030 will be radically transformed from our world today. Office of the director of national intelligence dni, is already the number one seller in amazons. Political and social trends in the future of global. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets.
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